Thursday, September 20, 2007

June 1st, 1934 - The Story Thus Far

1934: The Story Thus Far




With the completion of April and May games, I thought it might be in order to take stock of the season thus far.

The National League

The National League is, in some ways, proceeding according to script. The Cubs took the early lead, but the Giants are beginning to pull away with a 3 game lead over the Cubs, and are leaving the Cardinals and the rest of the league in the dust. In real life, the Pirates, Cubs, Giants and Cardinals all dueled pretty closely up until this point. The Pirates have faded a little prematurely, but their recent success in Chicago shows that they stilll have enough offense, if not pitching, to be a real factor in this pennant race.

The biggest surprise has been the failure of the Cardinals to keep pace. They are 5 games behind where they were at this point IRL. First baseman Rip Collins has seriously underperformed (SLOB of .834) vs his IRL 1934 stats (SLOB of 1.008). But the real story here is Dizzy Dean.

Dean was the NL MVP in 1934, with a W-L of 30-7 and ERA of 2.66. In the replay he is 2-6, with a 3.72 replay. The most significant factor appears to be significantly more walks (2.8 / 9 innings a game in replay and 2.2 IRL). Dean will have to start pitching truer to form if the Cards are going to pick it up. In the meanwhile, veteran Jesse Haines in helping to pick up the slack (4-0, 3.26 ERA), but he has pitched 30 of his 90 innings already, so he will not be able to carry the team on his back.

Another surprise has been the Boston Braves, who were 20-16 at this point IRL, and would finish over .500. In the replay, they're stuck at 14-22, and don't show much signs of life after their fast league leading start.

Right now in the NL, the Giants look good, the Cubs are within striking distance, and the Bucs and Cards are hanging around with plenty of games left to make their move. The Cards have a nice mixture of pitching and hitting, whereas the Bucs are hitting oriented. If the Dean brothers can start pitching up their potential, they'll challenge the Giants and the Cubs.
The Giants probably appear stronger than they really are. They've gotten a lot of timely extra base hits from faily weak hitters like Hughie Critz. That won't last. Likewise, their stars are also "overperforming" (Mel Ott is hitting .404/.497/.689 and Carl Hubbell is 9-1 with a 1.62 ERA).

In short, the Giants have gotten the good dice rolls to date and the Cards haven't. The question is whether this will continue or rectify itself in the remaining 113 games or so (told you there's still a LOT of games to be played!!!).
Here are the leading candidates for MVP so far:

Mel Ott
Bill Terry
Gabby Hartnett
Chuck Klein
Joe Medwick


The American League

In the American League, things are pretty wild. The A's and Nationals have continued to be very strong, while the Red Sox, IRL a .500 team, looked unbeatable for a while, but have now faded. The Tigers are 1 game ahead of pace at 22-17, while the Indians are 4 games behind theirs at 17-18. The other team we need to take a closer look at, however, are the New York Yankees.

The 1934 AL race in real life was mostly between the Tigers, Indians and Yankees. The Yankees are now only 2 games behind their pace at 20-18, but they needed a big streak to catch up. At one point, they were in 7th place at 11-16. They have won 9 of their last 11, have finally appear to have righted the ship. Like Dizzy Dean, Yankees ace Lefty Gomez got off to a slow start, but has now caught fire.

One big reason that the Yankees are back in the hunt is Lou Gehrig:

Batter Avg AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB K OBP Slug OB+Sl
L.Gehrig .366 153 56 9 2 16 59 21 4 4 .443 .765 1.208

To give you a sense of perspective, 59 RBIs at 38 games comes out to 239 RBIs after 154 games! This would SHATTER the current MLB record of 191, set in 1930 by Hack Wilson. Gehrig is also on track to hit 63 HRs, which would break Ruth's 1927 record of 60. We'll keep an eye on Gehrig throughout the season, but the RBI record appears to be in real trouble!

Here are the leading candidates for AL MVP so far:

Lou Gehrig
Jimmie Foxx
Earl Averill
Charlie Gehringer
Bob Johnson

June 1934 begins tomorrow! Stay tuned...

May 31st, 1934 - NL Game Summaries

Giants Overpower Dodgers at Ebbets, 9-2
Schumacher goes the distance for win number 5

NEW YORK AT BROOKLYN
Giants.......... 0 0 3 3 2 0 1 0 0 - 9 15 3
Dodgers....... 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 6 2

Win:Schumacher(5-3) Loss:Benge(5-5) Homeruns- T.Jackson(3rd)

Hal Schumacher went the distance and Travis Jackson (pictured) hit one over the fence and had 3 RBI at Ebbetts Field where the New York Giants beat the Brooklyn Dodgers 9 to 2. Schumacher(5-3) looked very much in control throughout the day. He didn't give up much, just 6 hits and 2 walks in 9 innings improving his ERA from3.87 to 3.59. New York finished with 15 hits in the victory. Ray Benge(5-5) was the losing pitcher. He was hit hard and gave up 13 hitsand 2 walks in 5 and 1/3 innings. New York continued their winnings waysimproving their record to a league leading 28-13. They are 8-2 in their lastten games. Brooklyn has a record of 18-19 after the loss.

Bucs Upend Cubs at Wrigley, 6-2
Swift flirts with no-no through 7

PITTSBURGH AT CHICAGO
Pirates......... 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 - 6 12 0
Cubs............ 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 5 0
Win:Swift(3-2) Loss:Bush(5-3)

Bill Swift carried a no-hitter into the 7th inning as the Pittsburgh Pirates defeated the Chicago Cubs 6 to 2 at Wrigley Field. Swift(3-2) pitched well for Pittsburgh in their victory. He went 9 inningsallowing 5 hits and 3 walks reducing his ERA from 5.14 to 4.50. Theright-handed Swift had his no-hit bid broken up by Woody English who singledwith nobody out in the 7th inning. Pittsburgh banged out 12 on theafternoon. Guy Bush(5-3) was charged with the loss. He allowed a few too manybase runners giving up 11 hits and 2 walks in 8 innings.



Cards batter Reds with Big 8th Inning
Haines settles down after first

ST. LOUIS AT CINCINNATI
Cardinals....... 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 7 0 - 11 16 0
Reds............... 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - 4 8 2
Win:Haines(4-0) Loss:Derringer(3-4)
Homeruns- C.Hafey(4th)

The game was close through 7, with the Cards holding a 4-3 lead in a game that saw Jess Haines and Paul Derringer throwing what appeared to be a tightly pitched game. In the 8th, however, the Cards unloaded on Derringer and the Reds.
Jesse Haines tossed a complete game and Jack Rothrock hit 2 doubles and had 4 RBI. The Cincinnati fans didn't appreciate the big day Rothrock had. He doubled, plating two runs in the 5th inning, stroked a base-hit in the 7th inning anddoubled scoring two baserunners in the 8th inning. St. Louis banged out 16 on the afternoon. Haines(4-0) picked up the complete game victory, allowing 4 runs. Paul Derringer(3-4) was the loser. He was hit hard and gave up 13 hits and 2 walks in 7 and 2/3 innings.